(August 10, 2018
The usual summer trend to lower sales in July held true this year in every market we serve except Penholdwhich experienced a burst of activity. The other trend that we are seeing is the number of active listings finally starting to come down slightly. The sales to listing ratio in central Alberta continues to favor buyers, but we are finally seeing it easing its way toward balance.
Many of our clients are wondering why the market hasn't rebounded more quickly when they are hearing that the economy is improving. A stronger economy is positive for sure, but that puts pressure on interest rates which directly impact the real estate market. Higher rates in conjunction with restrictive federal government imposed mortgage rules are making it difficult for buyers. Many have opted to stay put because they can't qualify to move up. And, move up buyers are a huge, missing piece of the puzzle.
Today's real estate market is like a huge wheel that is stuck and needs a nudge to get it moving. Once it starts to turn, momentum will help it keep turning. Some relaxation of the mortgage requirements or easing of rates in Alberta would be the grease that makes it easier to get unstuck. Neither option seems very likely, so we will have to be patient and accept things the way they are for now.
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